First Monsoon Spell Across Pakistan: It is expected to experience its first monsoon spell from July 1, according to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD). Northern and northeastern regions are likely to receive rainfall, while Sindh, including Karachi, is not expected to see monsoon showers before July 5.

Weather officials say the monsoon system will first enter the northeastern parts of the country, bringing rain to Punjab, Kashmir, and nearby northern areas. As a result, residents of Sindh may have to wait a few more days before any significant rainfall reaches the province.

First Monsoon Spell Across Pakistan from July 1

PMD spokesperson Anjum Nazir said the incoming weather system is expected to affect Punjab, Kashmir, and northern Pakistan from the beginning of July, bringing widespread rainfall as the monsoon season begins.

He added that there is currently no indication that the monsoon system will move into Sindh before July 5. Therefore, Karachi and other cities in the province are likely to remain dry during the first few days of July.

The weather department is also monitoring a low-pressure system forming over the Bay of Bengal. If the system strengthens and moves in the expected direction, it could improve rainfall chances in Sindh, including Karachi, later in the week.

Karachi May Receive Below-Normal Rainfall During Monsoon

According to the PMD, Karachi and many other parts of Sindh are expected to receive below-normal rainfall during the upcoming monsoon season. Even so, overall rainfall in the province may remain lower than the seasonal average.

The department also warned that temperatures across Pakistan are expected to stay above normal during the coming weeks. In southern regions, including Sindh, southern Punjab, and parts of Balochistan, hot weather and occasional heatwave conditions are more likely.

Weather experts believe that lower rainfall combined with higher temperatures could increase heat intensity in these areas. As a result, residents are advised to stay hydrated, avoid unnecessary outdoor activities during peak afternoon hours, and follow official weather updates.

PMD data also show that Sindh received significantly less rainfall than usual in recent months, while average temperatures remained above normal. Together, these conditions have increased concerns about prolonged dry weather across the province.

Despite the forecast of below-average rainfall, the weather department cautioned that isolated heavy rain showers are still possible during the monsoon season. Even so, such downpours could cause temporary urban flooding in low-lying areas and in places with poor drainage, especially in major cities.

The PMD has advised the public to stay informed through official forecasts, as weather conditions can change quickly during the monsoon season. Accordingly, authorities will continue monitoring developing weather systems and issue updates if rainfall patterns change.